My piece de resistance.
For my deep leaguers out there who just spent the last two player breakdowns rolling their eyes because those players have been rostered for months, I could never forget you. In the leagues I’m desperate at flex for a chance to find a ceiling game in a bare cupboard, I’m going to Music City, USA.
Ryan Tannehill’s been far from a world-beater but has played his best football at home. He has four top-11 QB finishes so far this year, three of those coming at home where his stats are pretty juicy all things considered (93-1208-5-1, 96 passer rating, 8.1 yards per attempt, +0.20 EPA/dropback).
On the other side of the ball, the same Jacksonville defense that some borderline intelligent analysts were touting aggressively early on this season has fallen apart (looks over shoulder, slowly raises hand). The pass defense these last six weeks has been an unmitigated disaster for the spotted cats across the board (25 points per game, 398 yards per game, 6.2 yards per play, 49 percent drive success allowed, -0.31 EPA/dropback, 105 opposing passer rating, 280 passing yards per game, 12.8 yards per reception). Where Jacksonville has especially gotten eviscerated in that same timeframe however is by slot receivers, where they’re either 31st or 32nd in defensive EPA vs. slot (-41.6), slot receptions per game (8.4), and slot receiving yards per game (119.8).
The last time the Titans had a distinct advantage against the slot defender was Week 10 against Denver (it happens to be the one weakness in the Broncos defense). Well, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine went nuclear that day and finished as the overall WR5 (eight targets, 5-119-2, 34 percent team air yards, 4.10 yards per route) with all of that production coming from the slot.
It may not be pretty, but NW-I just may be the Week 14 winner we’re searching for.
(Photo: Christopher Hanewinckel / USA Today)
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